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Saturday 15 October 2011

Hypothetical commencement of the third world war


This is my visualization of how third world war commences. This is not a well thought out piece and WW3 is certainly not on my wish-list but I believe in weighing various possibilities given today’s volatile situation across the globe.

Given the unrest in the middle east, this is the most fertile ground for commencement of WW3. WW2 started, as I have learned from Indian history books (so it may be completely wron), when Germans felt insulted and alienated by the world community. Hitler sought to project an image of a superior race with other races either being killed or being made subservient to the Aryans (that he thought his race was).

Think about it for a second, don’t we have a similar situation in the middle east today? A whole bunch of people feel the non-believers are harassing them. They feel alienated notwithstanding some of their own weakness in assimilating with other cultures. The most recent example of this lack of assimilation is from Switzerland where Muslims want the flag changed because they don’t ‘like’ the cross! (http://english.pravda.ru/world/europe/12-10-2011/119306-switzerland-0/).

The other aspect, ie. Superiority complex is also already present, with all other faiths and paths being called “of the devil” and “false” and “satanic” by the hardline Islamic clergy.

All that this region lacks is a trigger and a flag bearer to lead the war. Could it be Iran and its strong leader? I don’t think so. Iranians are Shia and as such are much discriminated against. Plus the richest power Saudi Arabia is a pawn in US hands. I think the war will begin between India and Pakistan. This is also the reason I write this, to increase awareness of this possibility so that India may prepare itself for a long and arduous journey ahead that many of today’s “big boss” watching citizens are ill fitted for.

This is how it will go down:

Sooner or later, the U.S. is going to attack the north western border of Pakistan to stop the Pakistani army and the ISI from supporting Islamic terrorists. Already statements from Hillary Clinton, the army chiefs and some U.S. senators on their growing “frustration” with Pakistan are quite telling.

Pakistani army too feeble to respond on it own will want to draw its benefactor China into the fray. But China is not going to go against the U.S., so Pakistan must first bring India into the proceedings and it knows this. So Pakistani army will raise the bogey of how India helped fuel American planes or how it gave on the ground intelligence to the Americans and use this pretext to fire rockets into India or carry out 26/11 style terrorist attacks. India, scared as this government is, will have to respond due to public opinion and will send its army to take out terrorist camps across the border and in PoK.

We already credibly know that PoK is controlled by the Chinese and India will have to fight with the PLA in PoK. This will inflame China but it cant do anything directly since officially it has nothing to do with the PoK. So China will get Bangladesh, Nepal and Sri Lanka to respond to India under some pretext of the other. Sri Lanka already has the LTTE issue with India and Bangladesh has the border issue so finding reasons will not be difficult. Notably, these are relations that China cultivated when the Congress foreign minister was busy reading wrong speeches in the parliament. J

These countries hardly have an army to speak of, but they will be supplied with enough tanks and rockets and guns by China to make it a contest with India. Pakistan will take advantage of India’s predicament and invade us in Kashmir, Punjab and the Rann of Kutch. India will continue to fight on three fronts (North, East and South) fruitlessly. Eventually the political einsteins will realize that this is a losing battle as long as the supply chains to these four countries are not disrupted. The supply chain to Sri Lanka may be cut off by the navy, but the supply chain to Nepal and Bangladesh will invariable see the Indian army attacking some part of China. This will China the reason it needs to invade India with all the weapons it made while Indian politicians were busy counting the loot from the 2G give-away.

At this point, India will begin to lose territory, with significant parts of Arunachal Pradesh, Punjab, Gujarat, and almost all the North-Eastern states taken over and shared between Pakistan and China. India will have no option but to ask help from NATO, this will draw in western powers into war. Rapidly Islamic countries will project this as a war between angels and demons (with themselves as angels, obviously) and pledge support to Pakistan. While Saudis can do as much damage on the battlefield as a eunuch in a harem, that will not prevent them from selling fuel to the ‘God’s army’ and giving cash. Iran, which has so far been a friend to India, may use this an opportunity to ingratiate itself to the rest of the Islamic world and join their side.

With America in the fray, China will ask North Korea to attack Indian battleships that are keeping Sri Lanka in check. North Korea will then ‘preemptively’ attack South Korea and Japan to ensure that it can carry out its own operations against India in peace. China may use the proceedings to take over Taiwan, finally.

At this point local unrest will hit a lot of countries given the projection of this war as a ‘holy’ war (notwithstanding China that is an atheistic country). England will be first to withdraw from international conflict to concentrate on a domestic uprising that has come about as a result of a sustained demographic change. Alas, it will be too late for the Queen’s country to control its populace then and will agree to an uneasy truce with its own citizens on the premise that it will not side with the allies in this ‘holy war’.

Russia will choose to remain neutral in the war willing to supply anyone with money, gas, petrol, expertise and weapons. The war will end in stalemate naturally. Japan and South Korea will be completely devastated, Taiwan will be a part of China. Most of India’s north-east, north and north-west will be taken over by Pakistan and China. Pakistan, China, India and the U.S. will suffer exceptionally heavy damage. Russia will emerge as the new world superpower while U.S. and China, go into slow decline like what happened to the U.K. after WW2.


This is a hypothetical piece and no offense meant to any religion, so please don’t cut off my hands for typing this, no offense meant to the CONgress, so please don’t sue me.  I retract everything as I type it.